天津科技

天津科技 ›› 2025, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (10): 57-60.

• 科学与社会 • 上一篇    下一篇

天津市蓟州区山区地质灾害气象风险预警信息智能靶向发布策略探讨

苑超1, 张嘉霖2,*, 韩玉妍1   

  1. 1.天津市突发公共事件预警信息发布中心 天津 300074;
    2.天津市津南区气象局 天津 300350
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-05 出版日期:2025-10-25 发布日期:2026-01-06
  • 通讯作者: *

Discussion on intelligent targeted release strategy of meteorological risk warning information for geological disasters in mountainous areas of Jizhou District, Tianjin

YUAN Chao1, ZHANG Jialin2,*, HAN Yuyan1   

  1. 1. Tianjin Public Emergency Warning and Release Center,Tianjin 300074,China;
    2. Tianjin Jinnan District Meteorological Bureau, Tianjin 300350,China
  • Received:2025-09-05 Online:2025-10-25 Published:2026-01-06

摘要： 当前,气象部门针对突发性、局地性灾害的快速发布能力存在短板,没有建立起从灾害感知、风险分析到自动分发的智能化发布策略。以天津市蓟州区山区地质灾害气象风险预警为例,探讨智能靶向发布策略。基于应用灾害风险普查成果数据,结合地质灾害预警经验数据和监测感知数据等,提取面向地质灾害风险区的信息靶向发布技术要素,最终形成蓟州区山区地质灾害气象风险预警分级靶向发布流程,以实现高时效、精细化发布,提升递进式、精细化防灾减灾服务能力。

关键词: 地质灾害, 预警信息, 智能靶向, 发布策略

Abstract: At present,meteorological departments have shortcomings in their ability to quickly release warnings for sudden and local disasters,and have not established an intelligent release strategy covering disaster perception,risk analysis,and automatic distribution. Taking the meteorological risk early warning for geological disasters in the mountainous areas of Jizhou District,Tianjin as an example,this paper discusses the intelligent targeted release strategy. Based on the application of disaster risk survey data,combined with geological disaster early warning experience data and monitoring perception data,the technical elements of targeted information release for geological disaster risk areas are extracted. Finally,a hierarchical targeted release process for meteorological risk early warnings of geological disasters in the mountainous areas of Jizhou District is formed,so as to achieve high-timeliness and refined release,and improve the capacity of progressive and refined disaster prevention and mitigation services.

Key words: geological disaster, warning information, intelligent targeting, release strategy

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