天津科技

天津科技 ›› 2023, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (9): 14-19.

• 管理与创新 • 上一篇    下一篇

国家自然科学基金中标影响因素分析——以天津医科大学肿瘤医院为例

孙萌   

  1. 天津医科大学肿瘤医院,国家恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心,天津市恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心,天津市肿瘤防治重点实验室 天津 300060
  • 收稿日期:2023-09-01 出版日期:2023-09-25 发布日期:2023-12-26

Analysis of Factors Affecting Approval of National Natural Science Foundation of China—Case of a Specialized Hospital in Tianjin

SUN Meng   

  1. Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital,National Clinical Research Center for Cancer,Tianjin’s Clinical Research Center for Cancer,Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy,Tianjin 300060,China
  • Received:2023-09-01 Online:2023-09-25 Published:2023-12-26

摘要： 通过下载2021年天津医科大学肿瘤医院国家自然科学基金申请书,从中摘录申请者的基本信息、科研履历及前期成果等进行单因素及多因素Logistic回归分析,对该专科医院2021年国家自然科学基金的申报情况进行梳理,找出影响国家自然科学基金获批的影响因素,并从管理角度提出应对措施,为今后做好国家自然科学基金项目申报工作提供决策依据。单因素Logistic结果提示：人才称号、代表性SCI论著数量、代表性论著累计影响因子、代表性论著最高影响因子、近5年其他成果累计5项指标与科学基金项目获得资助几率的提高显著相关。在单因素分析有统计学意义的变量中,选择无共线性关系的变量,采用多因素非条件Logistic回归（逐步法）引入变量,结果表明,影响国家自然科学基金资助情况的主要因素为人才称号、代表性论著累计影响因子、近5年其他成果。在基金申报工作中,应聚焦具有博士学位和有一定前期基础的人群,并做好申报辅导工作;同时,严抓项目进展成效,对青年结题后人群重点关注;此外,还应扩宽业绩认可范围,增强对其他成果的重视程度。

关键词: 国家自然科学基金, 影响因素, 定量分析

Abstract: By downloading the National Natural Science Foundation of China （NSFC） application form of a specialized hospital in Tianjin in 2021,and extracting the basic information,research history and previous achievements of the applicants from the application form,the influencing factors of NSFC project approval are analyzed by single-factor and multi-factor logistic regression. The application of NSFC of the specialized hospital in 2021 is sorted out,the factors affecting the approval of NSFC are identified,and countermeasures are proposed from the management perspective,so as to provide a decision-making basis for the future application of NSFC projects. The single-factor logistic results suggest that five indicators,namely the title of talent,the number of representative SCI publications,the cumulative impact factor of representative publications,the highest impact factor of representative publications,and the cumulative other achievements in the past five years,are significantly associated with the improvement of the odds of receiving funding for science foundation projects. The variables with no co-linearity are selected among those with statistical significance in the univariate analysis,and the variables are introduced by multi-factor unconditional logistic regression （stepwise method）,and the results show that the main factors affecting the funding of NSFC are the title of talent,the cumulative impact factor of representative publications,and other achievements in the last five years. In the fund application work,it should focus on people with PhD degree and certain prior foundation,and do a good job in the application counseling;at the same time,it should strictly grasp the effectiveness of project progress,and focus on the young people after the completion of the study;in addition,it should broaden the scope of performance recognition and strengthen the importance of other achievements.

Key words: National Natural Science Foundation of China （NSFC）, influencing factors, quantitative analysis

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